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Argentine farmers are holding back soybeans as a hedge against currency devaluation, while tightening currency restrictions disrupt the economy. Chicago soymeal futures rallied to their highest level in more than two years, and raw soybeans traded near two-year highs.
ADM's CFO said global meal buyers will turn to the US in the fourth quarter.
Reduced Argentine soybean selling shifts meal and oil demand to US processors, supporting US soybean and soymeal prices through the fourth quarter.
batimes.com.arJames GraingerSep 25, 2020After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Argentine farmers holding back soybeans pushed meal futures to 2+ year highs and shifted meal demand to the US, providing the background for continued momentum.
