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USDA's October 2022 WASDE report showed lower-than-expected soybean yields and production, lifting soybean prices. Supply and demand data had less effect on corn, which closed near flat, while wheat lost 1% to 1.9%.
Crude oil fell 2.25% to around $87 per barrel.
A downside surprise in US soybean yields tightens domestic supply and supports soybean complex prices, while the lack of corn and wheat response indicates limited feed grain price impact.
theseam.comOct 12, 2022After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
