Column: Record new-crop U.S. soybean sales fly under radar versus China’s corn haul

After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Dec 5, 2025Looking at the US soybean sales to China | MEAT+POULTRY-2.3%
• Apr 24, 2019Argentina seeks soybean sales in China - DatamarNews-2.4%
• Oct 23, 2018Is Southeast Asia China's new middleman for US soybeans? - Nikkei Asia-2.3%
• Sep 7, 2026Ahead of Xi's US visit, China's soybean crushers face high costs, weak margins | Reuters-0.7%
• Mar 17, 2021Nearby Corn Futures Firm as USDA Reports Big Sales to China - AgWeb0.0%

After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.

• Jul 31, 2020Column: U.S. corn, soybean export sales smash July records on huge China deals-0.7%
• Jul 14, 2020China books record U.S. corn purchase, also buys soybeans | Reuters-1.1%
• May 5, 2020China and Mexico Buy U.S. Corn and Soybeans | Red River Farm Network+0.1%
• Apr 29, 2022Record U.S. corn, soy sales for next year signal demand strength, jitters-7.1%
• Jul 14, 2020China Makes Record U.S. Corn Purchase | Farm Policy News | Illinois-1.1%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.