Loading…
China's retaliatory tariffs have cut U.S. soybean exports to China, but shipments to Southeast Asia have jumped about 90%, suggesting Chinese buyers are routing purchases through third countries. U.S. beans have become comparatively cheap due to the trade war and a large harvest.
Rerouting lets some U.S. soybeans reach Chinese crushers, limiting the downside for U.S. prices, but discounts on U.S. beans reflect weaker export margins. Feed buyers may see cheaper soymeal supply from re-exported origins.
asia.nikkei.comMAIKO SUGIYAMA, Nikkei staff writerOct 23, 2018After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
