
Wet weather in central Brazil continued to slow the 2020/21 soybean harvest, which was 15% complete versus 31% a year earlier. Mato Grosso reached 34.5% harvested against 74% last year, and Parana was at 8%.
Slow harvest progress delays soybean shipments and can push safrinha corn planting late, supporting soybean and corn prices in the near term.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.