CME Group commentary says biofuel demand growth, driven by EU RED II mandates, is tightening feedstocks such as soybean oil and waste oils. Biodiesel and HVO producers are competing for limited supplies, and US soybean oil prices have risen sharply.
Competition for vegetable oil feedstocks supports soybean oil and other vegetable oil prices, which in turn lifts the value of meal-oil crush economics. Feed buyers face higher fat and oil costs.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.