
Soybean futures held firm after the May USDA report, while corn and most wheat contracts fell. USDA projected 2021-22 corn ending stocks at 1.507 billion bushels, above the 1.344 billion trade average, and forecast a large U.S. wheat harvest.
Higher new-crop corn stocks and prospects for a large U.S. wheat crop point to lower feed grain and wheat prices, while smaller Argentine soybean output supports soybean values.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.