
Strong renewable diesel demand has pushed hydrotreated vegetable oil and waste feedstock prices up sharply, roughly doubling over 12 months. Soybean oil exports from the US and Argentina rose 7.5% in the 2020-21 marketing year to 7.1 million tons.
Biofuel feedstock demand is pulling vegetable oils higher and tightening the soybean oil and palm oil balance, which supports prices for both oils.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.