
Asian crude palm oil prices reached their highest level in over three months on Jan 28, with FOB Indonesia February loading assessed at $1,115/mt. Gains in rival oils and expectations of lower output in key producing countries supported the rally.
Indonesia's March loading price rose to $1,145/mt on anticipation of a higher export tax in March.
Lower expected output and an anticipated Indonesian export tax increase lift palm export costs, supporting global prices. Higher palm prices may push Indian buyers to return once prices dip, shaping near-term demand.
After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Asian CPO hit a three-month high on strong rival oils, lower expected output and anticipation of Indonesia's higher March export tax, which lifted the price.
Rally to a three-month high on stronger rival oils, expected lower output and an anticipated higher Indonesian export tax shows the supply and policy backdrop before the move, though it predates the Feb 2 date.