
Brent crude reached a three-month high on June 1 as OPEC+ kept its planned July output increase of 841,000 barrels per day. Brent rose 2.48% to $71.04 and WTI rose 3.23% to $68.46, with prices up about 30% since the April meeting.
Prices rose despite the supply increase because demand recovery expectations were strong. Higher crude costs raise diesel and energy costs for feed mills and grain logistics.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 90 past bullish policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.