
OPEC+ agreed to raise output by 400,000 bpd in December and reconfirmed a plan to return 2 million bpd to markets by year end. Countries that overproduced were allowed to submit compensatory cut plans by the end of December.
The modest, pre-set increases give the market little extra supply, so crude prices stay firm and energy-linked feed costs remain high.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.