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Goldman Sachs raised its Brent crude price forecasts following OPEC+ output cuts. Reporting also noted talk of a possible US diesel export ban, which deepened the discount of US crude futures to the global benchmark.
A higher Brent forecast signals firmer energy costs for feed producers, while a possible diesel export ban could tighten global diesel supply and push up fuel prices. The widening WTI discount reflects regional supply pressure.
reuters.comFlorence TanApr 2, 2023After 442 past bullish policy events, BRENT moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 187 past neutral policy events, WTI moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 90 past bullish policy events, DIESEL moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Goldman's higher Brent forecasts after the cuts reinforced bullish sentiment, and the diesel export ban talk added minor spread effects.
