
Brent settled up 6.31% at $84.93 and WTI up 6.28% at $80.42 after OPEC+ announced a cut of 1.16 million barrels per day, with Saudi Arabia's voluntary cut running from May through end-2023. Russia's separate 500,000 barrel per day cut added to the tightening.
Voluntary cuts through year end reduce crude supply and lift diesel and freight costs for feed producers. Higher energy prices also support biofuel demand for vegetable oils.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 90 past bullish policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Documents the biggest gain in nearly a year after the 1.16 mb/d cut, with Saudi voluntary cuts through end-2023 and Russia's 500k b/d cut tightening supply.