
An OPEC+ panel endorsed the group's current output policy at a brief virtual meeting on February 1, leaving 2 million bpd of cuts in place through 2023. Sources said the ministers did not discuss Chinese demand or Russian supply, and EU and G7 restrictions on Russian oil products take effect February 5.
The unchanged cuts plus new restrictions on Russian product exports support diesel and crude prices, raising energy costs for feed logistics and biofuel feedstocks.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 90 past bullish policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.