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OPEC+ surprised markets by announcing a cut to its output target, and oil jumped about 6% in the following session. Some analysts warned that reduced demand could emerge if refiners pull back at higher prices, while others raised Brent forecasts toward $100 per barrel.
A tighter supply outlook lifts crude and energy-linked costs, which feeds through to diesel, freight and fertilizer costs for feed producers. Higher crude also tends to support biofuel economics and vegetable oil prices.
bloomberg.comJulia FanzeresApr 2, 2023
reuters.comShariq KhanApr 2, 2023After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 90 past bullish policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Describes the surprise OPEC+ target cut as the trigger for the sharp oil rally and higher Brent forecasts.
