Oil futures fell in early trading as the market digested additional voluntary OPEC+ cuts for 1Q24. The package includes an extension of 1.3 million bpd by Saudi Arabia and Russia, about 700,000 bpd from others, and a 200,000 bpd reduction in Russian fuel exports.
The cuts, including the Russian fuel export reduction, support crude and diesel prices, though analysts expect them to sustain current price levels rather than drive a sharp rally, which limits the cost impact on feed buyers.
After 442 past bullish policy events, BRENT moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, WTI moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 90 past bullish policy events, DIESEL moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On Dec 1 oil futures fell as the market judged the OPEC+ 1Q24 voluntary cuts underwhelming or already priced in, a sentiment-driven selloff that likely dragged ULSD lower on the day.