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OPEC+ agreed to delay a planned 180,000 bpd output increase for October and November after crude prices hit nine-month lows. The group said it could pause or reverse the hikes if market conditions required.
Holding back supply from the market supports crude prices after a steep sell-off, and crude feeds into diesel, fertilizer and freight costs for feed production. The decision is a meaningful bullish signal for energy-linked input costs.
reuters.comAhmad GhaddarSep 5, 2024After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 90 past bullish policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
