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OPEC+ is leaning toward resuming oil output increases from April, according to sources. The report also notes talk of a US diesel export ban that is widening the discount of US crude futures to global benchmarks.
Resumed output increases point to more supply, which is bearish for crude, while a possible diesel export ban could tighten global distillate supply and support diesel costs.
uk.marketscreener.comReutersFeb 13, 2026
reuters.comOlesya AstakhovaFeb 13, 2026After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 90 past bullish policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
