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CBOT wheat closed up about 38 cents on May 20, 2024, with KC and Minneapolis wheat also higher. Crop damage in Russia and Ukraine from frost and drought, plus Russian export offers jumping $18 a ton, drove the rally.
Reported Black Sea crop losses and higher export offers tighten global wheat supply, supporting prices and potentially raising US wheat demand.
agriculture.comCassidy WalterMay 20, 2024After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly describes the May 20 CBOT wheat rally of ~38 cents driven by frost and drought damage in Russia and Ukraine and a $18/t jump in Russian export offers, which tightens supply and raises export price benchmarks.
CBOT wheat closed up about 38 cents on May 20 on frost and drought damage in Russia and Ukraine and a jump in Russian export offers.
