Loading…
Wheat led a grain and livestock rally on Monday, with gains of 11 to 19.5 cents across the three wheat classes. Traders added weather premium ahead of extreme weather with red flag warnings in the Southern Plains, and funds covered short positions.
Feeder cattle hit all-time highs while soybeans slipped on South American harvest pressure and a weak NOPA crush report.
Dry, windy conditions in US winter wheat areas raise supply risk and support wheat prices, with corn following through spillover. Strong feeder cattle prices raise the cost of feeding for lots, while the soy complex is pressured by weak crush and Brazilian harvest supply.
agweb.comMar 17, 2025After 1,072 past bullish weather events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, KWHEAT moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, SOY moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Wheat led the grain rally with 11 to 19.5 cent gains as traders added weather premium for Southern Plains red flag warnings and funds covered shorts, which is a supply-risk and positioning mechanism for HRW.
Same-day report of wheat leading the rally as weather premium was added for Southern Plains red flag warnings and funds covered shorts, which amplified the one-day jump.
