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Chicago wheat and oat futures jumped as much as 8 percent as drought in the Dakotas and Montana intensified and Canadian crop conditions worsened. Spring wheat in Minneapolis hit a four-year high of about $8.16 per bushel and posted a ninth straight gain.
Fund short-covering added to commercial buying.
Smaller expected spring wheat output and tighter quality supplies push feed wheat and oat values higher. Feed buyers should expect firm prices while drought persists.
cnbc.comJeff DanielsJul 3, 2017After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 68 past bullish weather events, Oats moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.9%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On the end date, Chicago wheat jumped as much as 8% on intensifying Northern Plains drought, worsening Canadian crops and fund short-covering, a direct supply and sentiment driver of the move.
