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A severe worldwide DEF shortage has worsened, with urea prices rising from about $600 per ton in September to nearly $800 in December. European natural gas price spikes raised manufacturing costs, while China restricted urea exports and Russia cut its exports.
Fertilizer demand has also pulled urea supply away from DEF uses.
Export restrictions from China and Russia tighten global urea supply, pushing up nitrogen fertilizer costs for feed grain producers. High gas costs in Europe keep nitrogen production expensive.
mansfield.energyAlan ApthorpJan 4, 2022After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 59 past bullish trade events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.7% to +10.6%), and +8.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
