
Urea prices rose ahead of price discovery on India's tender, which drew 2.66 million tonnes of offers against a target of 1.5 million tonnes. Offers east of Suez reached USD 415/tonne FOB, and potash climbed after a Belarusian producer shut production temporarily.
Strong Indian tender demand and offers near USD 405-415/tonne support higher urea prices in the export market. The Belarusian potash outage tightens supply and lifts potash prices.
After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Prices rose ahead of India tender price discovery, with east-of-Suez offers reaching $415/t FOB, so this was a pre-move that built momentum.