A USDA Economic Research Service working paper estimated that direct government assistance to farms rose by $23.8 billion in 2020 compared with 2019. The increase came from several COVID-19 relief bills, including CFAP and the Market Facilitation Program.
Large government payments support farm incomes and can sustain production and feed demand, though the price effect is limited.
After 3,207 past report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 2,389 past report events, Soybeans moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 2,447 past report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.