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The US dollar weakened after Powell's Jackson Hole speech lifted equities, bonds, commodities and other currencies. Markets read the Fed's language as meaning rate hikes are further off, while Hurricane Ida cut power across large parts of the Gulf region and supported gasoline prices.
A softer dollar supports dollar-denominated commodity prices, while Gulf storm disruption adds upward pressure to energy and logistics costs for feed buyers.
forex.caAug 30, 2021After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 105 past bullish macro events, DIESEL moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
