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USDA's September Quarterly Grain Stocks report put soybean stocks at 256 million bushels against a trade estimate of 174 million. Corn stocks were 1.23 billion bushels against 1.15 billion expected, and wheat stocks were 1.78 billion bushels against 1.85 billion expected.
Soybean futures settled about 27 cents lower and December wheat closed 15.75 cents higher.
The soybean stocks surprise shows more supply than the trade expected, which pressures soybean and meal prices, while the smaller wheat stocks support wheat.
agriculture.comMike McGinnisSep 30, 2021After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
