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Argentina's informal peso weakened 2.05% to 195 per dollar on Friday, and its country risk spread widened 19 basis points to an all-time high of 1,672. The peso fell 4.36% over the week as inflation hit 3.5% in September, with a 52.5% annual rate, ahead of November congressional elections.
A weaker peso makes Argentine soybean and meal exports cheaper in dollar terms, which can encourage farmer selling and pressure world soymeal and soybean prices. Persistent currency stress also raises the risk of a sharper devaluation later.
financialpost.comReutersOct 22, 2021Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
