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The Argentine peso has fallen about a third against the dollar so far this year, reaching over 1,250 per dollar on the unofficial market. The blue-rate gap to the official rate, which had been 11% on December 27, now exceeds 50%.
Analysts expect the slide to continue as the official rate lags inflation of 211%.
A sharply weaker peso can lower Argentine farm export prices in dollars and speed up farmer sales, adding supply pressure to soymeal and soyoil markets.
batimes.com.arAshton GorenJan 18, 2024Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
