The dollar strengthened on a more hawkish Federal Reserve, which said it would begin unwinding its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases as soon as November and could raise rates in 2022. Ten-year US inflation-protected yields rose about 37 basis points since early August, versus 5 basis points in Germany.
A stronger dollar and higher US real yields tend to pressure dollar-denominated commodity prices and make US feed exports less competitive abroad, while raising financing costs for feedlots and processors.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.