
The dollar edged higher on Friday and was heading for a weekly gain of 0.6%, with the dollar index at 90.757. Safe-haven demand rose after worries that President Biden's fiscal package might be smaller than the proposed $1.9 trillion.
COVID-19 vaccine rollout problems in Europe added to the caution.
Safe-haven dollar buying tends to lift the dollar against foreign currencies, which can weigh on dollar-priced commodity prices and make US exports less competitive. The size of US fiscal spending also affects expectations for US rates and the dollar.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.