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USDA's July WASDE cut 2020/21 US corn ending stocks from 84.4 to 67.3 MMT, which was seen as mildly bullish. Still, December corn futures fell 7.25 cents (2.1%) for the week as traders focused on favorable US weather and fund selling.
Lower ending stocks are supportive, but favorable weather and ample expected supply dominated, pressuring corn prices. Feed buyers should expect continued softness unless weather turns.
grains.orgJul 16, 2020grains.orgJul 16, 2020grains.orgJul 16, 2020After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
