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The USDA's May WASDE forecast record global corn production for 2023/24 and larger US production and ending stocks, with US corn yield at a record 181.5 bushels per acre. Corn futures fell 5.3% that week, also weighed by renewal of the Black Sea grain corridor.
Feed and residual use is forecast up 7% on the larger crop.
Record US and global supplies point to ample feed grain availability and lower prices for buyers. The larger crop is expected to boost feed use, reinforcing bearish price pressure.
grains.orgMay 18, 2023After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Corn futures fell 5.3% on the week on record global and US production forecasts and the Black Sea corridor renewal.
