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Brent posted its biggest daily loss in more than 11 years after Russia rejected OPEC's proposed steep production cuts. OPEC responded by removing limits on its own output.
Removal of OPEC output limits signals a supply surge into weak demand, pushing crude lower and reducing energy-linked support for biofuel feedstocks.
reuters.comScott DiSavinoMar 6, 2020After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 28 past bearish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median -2.7% over 5 sessions (21% higher; middle half -8.3% to -0.7%), and -2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Brent had its biggest daily loss in over 11 years on March 6 after Russia rejected cuts and OPEC lifted output limits, directly describing the move.
Russia's rejection of OPEC's proposed cuts and OPEC's removal of its own output limits set up the supply glut that drove the selloff.
Russia rejecting OPEC's proposed cuts and OPEC dropping its output limits removed supply discipline, triggering Brent's biggest one-day drop in over a decade at the start of the window.
It reports Brent's biggest daily loss in over 11 years after Russia rejected OPEC's cuts and OPEC lifted output limits, the supply trigger just before the move.
