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Saudi Aramco slashed its April crude official selling prices, including the largest-ever cut for Arab Light to Asian customers, after OPEC+ talks broke down. Oil prices fell about 10% on the day, their worst session in over five years.
Aggressive price cuts by the largest exporter signal a market share fight and ample supply, pressuring crude and biofuel-linked feed input values.
spglobal.comMar 8, 2020After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 28 past bearish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median -2.7% over 5 sessions (21% higher; middle half -8.3% to -0.7%), and -2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Saudi Aramco's record April OSP cuts and the collapse of OPEC+ curbs signaled a supply flood and price war, the direct trigger for Monday's Brent plunge.
Saudi Aramco's record cut to April official selling prices after OPEC+ talks collapsed signaled a price war and a supply flood, driving the sharp selloff.
Saudi Aramco made record cuts to its April official selling prices, signaling a price war and flooding supply, which triggered the sharp drop in oil.
