
Wheat prices rose above $8 a bushel for the first time in nearly nine years, with the USDA estimating 2021-22 U.S. wheat ending stocks at 583 million bushels, the lowest since 2007-08. U.S. domestic production fell 10% after northwestern Plains drought cut hard red spring and durum crops.
Russia may lift grain export taxes, adding support.
Lowest U.S. ending stocks in over a decade and a smaller crop tighten supplies, keeping wheat expensive relative to corn and raising feed-ration costs.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.