
US wheat futures hit their highest in nearly nine years on Monday, with CBOT March SRW up 23-1/4 cents and KC HRW ending 28 cents higher at contract highs. The rally followed ill-timed rains in Australia and rising Russian wheat prices, with Russian shipments down 34% this season on a smaller crop and higher export taxes.
Tighter supply from the world's top exporters lifts wheat values and supports corn and soybean prices, raising feed grain costs for buyers.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, KWHEAT moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.