
OCBC Treasury Research expects crude palm oil production to recover in 2022 in Malaysia and Indonesia, with palm stocks returning above two million tonnes by Q3 2022. It forecasts palm oil at RM4,750 per tonne and sees soybean prices and crude oil moving higher.
A production recovery would ease palm supply, but OCBC expects prices to stay supported through the first half, while firmer soybean and crude oil prices lift the wider oilseed complex.
After 66 past neutral report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.4% to +2.0%), and +2.2% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 116 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.0% to +3.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.