GAPKI data show Indonesia's crude palm oil output rose 10.68% to 4.352 million tonnes in October 2025. Domestic absorption reached 2.227 million tonnes, with biodiesel up 12.15% to 1.2 million tonnes.
Cumulative January to October output was up 9.85% year on year.
Higher production adds to export supply, which is bearish. Strong biodiesel absorption tightens domestic availability for exports, which partly offsets that pressure.
After 66 past neutral report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.4% to +2.0%), and +2.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.