
India's market regulator SEBI ordered a one-year suspension of new futures contracts in soybean, soyoil, crude palm oil, wheat, paddy rice, chickpea, green gram, rapeseed and mustard. Existing contracts may not take new positions.
The move aims to curb food inflation.
Removing hedging tools may cut Indian trade activity and inventories, and domestic prices could ease as the government targets food inflation. Import demand for vegetable oils and grains could soften, which is bearish for global prices of these items.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 399 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 122 past bearish policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.