Earthsight reports that the EU Parliament's 4 April resolution calls for action on tropical deforestation, including regulations addressing the EU's role in importing agricultural commodities grown on illegally deforested land. The resolution focused mainly on palm oil but also covered soy and beef.
Possible EU regulation of imports linked to deforestation could curb demand for palm oil, soy and beef, a bearish signal for palm oil and soybean meal flows into Europe, though no binding measure exists yet.
After 400 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.