
USDA's January WASDE raised US soybean production by 10 million bushels to 4.44 billion and lifted the 2021/22 season-average soybean price forecast by 50 cents to $12.60 per bushel. US corn production was raised 53 million bushels, while wheat closed lower on the day.
A higher soybean price forecast reflects tighter global stocks from South American shortfalls, which supports soybean and meal values for feed buyers.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.