
Cattle futures fell sharply on February 24 after Russia invaded Ukraine, with April feeder cattle down $4.475 to $163.80, a two-month low. April live cattle closed $2.45 lower at $142.30.
Higher grain prices also weighed on feeder cattle.
Geopolitical risk and higher feed costs pressured cattle values, cutting roughly $35 per head on feeder and live animals. Buyers should expect volatility in cattle prices and feed costs while the conflict continues.
After 10 past bearish geopolitics events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 14 past geopolitics events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (21% higher; middle half -1.3% to -0.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.