
U.S. diesel exports from the Gulf Coast have climbed to about 1.04 million barrels per day so far in March, on track for the highest level since August 2019. Buyers in Europe and Latin America are competing for supply after Russia's invasion of Ukraine tightened global diesel markets.
U.S. stockpiles have fallen to their lowest seasonal level in eight years.
Strong export pull is draining U.S. diesel inventories and raising domestic prices, which increases freight and farm input costs for feed buyers. Tight diesel supply supports bullish pricing across the fuel complex.
After 26 past bullish trade events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.9% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -5.6% to +1.6%), and -4.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.