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StoneX's weekly Brazil sugar and ethanol report says Russia-Ukraine conflict volatility drove Brent to a high of $139.13 per barrel. It notes that fundamentals already point to a surplus from the second quarter of 2022, and discusses how FX moves affect sugar and ethanol plant profitability.
Higher crude prices support ethanol and sugar-related energy linkages, while a projected surplus could ease crude futures later. The report is mainly macro and FX commentary with limited direct feed impact.
stonex.comStoneX Intelligence BrazilMar 25, 2022After 54 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.8% to +2.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
