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StoneX's weekly FX outlook for Brazil lists the factors expected to drive the dollar and the real. These include new US tariff threats, Brazilian fiscal concerns after the IOF confusion, a Moody's downgrade of US sovereign debt, and upcoming US and Brazilian inflation and PCE data.
Currency swings tied to tariffs and fiscal policy change the import cost of Brazilian feed inputs and the competitiveness of Brazilian grain exports. The outlook is a routine forecast with no new supply or demand shock.
stonex.comStoneX Intelligence BrazilMay 26, 2025After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
