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Syrian authorities control fertilizer distribution in Homs, with the state Peasant Association allocating limited urea bags to farmers at one bag per ten dunums. Local agronomists say the quantities fall well short of crop needs.
This is a localized supply shortfall in a small producer market with limited direct effect on global feed prices.
After 129 past bullish policy events, Urea moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.3%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.