
The renminbi is on track for its steepest monthly fall on record, down about 4.2% in April to roughly 6.6 per dollar. The sell-off intensified after President Xi announced an 'all out' infrastructure spending package to offset damage from Shanghai and other lockdowns.
Foreign investors are dumping Chinese assets as the Fed prepares rate hikes.
A weaker yuan and capital outflows signal weak Chinese demand for imported feed ingredients and make dollar-priced commodities more expensive for Chinese buyers. Stimulus could eventually support hog and feed demand, but near-term price pressure on feed imports is likely bearish.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.