Loading…
Crude futures settled down 1.5% to 2% on the week of April 22 as COVID lockdowns in China cut fuel demand by over 20% in March and April. A strengthening dollar after Fed signals of aggressive rate hikes added pressure.
China's sharp demand contraction from lockdowns is a bearish signal for crude and diesel, and softer Chinese industrial and feed demand weighs on the broader commodity complex.
dtnpf.comLiubov GeorgesApr 22, 2022After 32 past bearish disease events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -5.2% over 5 sessions (13% higher; middle half -15.0% to -2.4%), and -5.7% over 20.
After 26 past bearish disease events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -6.0% over 5 sessions (15% higher; middle half -13.3% to -2.0%), and -6.8% over 20.
After 13 past bearish disease events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -5.1% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -6.3% to +1.2%), and -6.1% over 20.
After 2,577 past bullish events of any kind, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
