
A strong U.S. dollar is hurting U.S. dairy product exports, weighing on farm-gate milk prices. Pennsylvania 2015 producer returns averaged $18.50 per hundredweight, 28% below 2014, and Australian buyers cut milk prices amid oversupply in world markets.
Global dairy oversupply and a firm dollar limit export demand for U.S. dairy products, keeping milk prices under pressure and reducing dairy sector feed demand.
After 49 past bearish macro events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -8.5% to +0.6%), and -7.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.