
Coronavirus lockdowns closed schools, restaurants and coffee shops, causing a sharp drop in dairy demand. Farmers such as Brian Brown were told to cut production by about 20% and began dumping milk.
Excess milk is being directed toward food banks, which may need federal help.
Forced production cuts and milk dumping signal a large supply surplus that keeps milk prices depressed. Lower milk output reduces the volume of dairy byproducts available for feed.
After 49 past bearish macro events, MILK moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -8.5% to +0.6%), and -7.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports of dumping and mandated production cuts on April 30 highlighted a demand collapse and glut, weighing on sentiment.
Demand collapse from closed restaurants and schools, along with milk dumping and production cuts, reinforced the bearish sentiment around the glut.